Arnon Grunberg

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On Elvis, Netanyahu and Gaza – Alon Pinkas in Haaretz:

‘Over 140 days into the Gaza war, almost five months after the United States asked him – as an ally – to provide ideas, a vision or a framework for postwar Gaza, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu finally came up with a non-plan. A reasonable sounding but unviable list of principles that are untethered from reality. It was furtively released on Friday morning, as if the government had hoped no one would notice.’

(…)

‘The "immediate time frame" states that a prerequisite to reaching the so-called "day after" is that the Israel Defense Forces will "continue the war until its goals are achieved: the destruction of Hamas and Islamic Jihad's military capabilities and governing infrastructure; the return of the hostages held in Gaza; and preventing any threat to Israel from the Gaza Strip in the future."
In and of itself, this makes sense and appeals to the Israeli mind-set. However, it runs contrary to the American timeline and sequencing that assumes a hostage deal will be accompanied by a temporary but lengthy cease-fire, not by continuing the war. Secondly, it assumes that destroying Hamas militarily and politically is attainable without occupying the entire Gaza Strip for an extended period of time.’

(…)

‘The Gaza Strip will be "totally demilitarized" and responsibility to implement and supervise this objective in the foreseeable future will be Israel's. The concept of demilitarization has been a consistent and adamant Israeli position since the Oslo Accords of 1993, and was a basic tenet in the Camp David talks and ensuing Clinton Parameters detailing America's vision of a future agreement in 2000. But the addition of Israel's exclusive responsibility over both implementation and supervision translates into one reality: Israeli reoccupation of Gaza. How else can you implement and supervise demilitarization? That may be a valid idea in a political science simulation game. In reality, it is a nonstarter and an unfeasible proposition.’

(…)

‘"De-radicalization": a plan to de-radicalize religious, education and welfare institutions in Gaza, "with the involvement and assistance of Arab states with proven experience in promoting de-radicalization." This is a farcical clause as detached from reality as it's possible to be. How will Israel "de-radicalize" Gaza? How will Israel incentivize this process? Which Arab states have such a record? And, by the way, the question of whether Israel will do the same is bound to arise.’

(…)

‘"Gaza reconstruction will only begin once demilitarization has been completed and de-radicalization commenced. … Reconstruction will be conducted and funded by countries acceptable to Israel." In other words, it will never be done. This clause also suggests Israel has no intention of leaving Gaza and arrogantly instructs countries willing to fund the reconstruction to wait for an Israeli green light.’

(…)

‘Netanyahu's current approval rating is abysmal. He is steady at 19 percent – which is less than the number of Americans who think Elvis Presley is still alive. In polls, his governing coalition of 64 lawmakers gets between 38 and 47 seats, depending on the formation of new parties. Seventy-five percent of the Israeli public and 67 percent of previous Likud voters see him as responsible for the October 7 debacle; 71 percent believe he should resign and 66 percent favor an election as soon as possible.
With such numbers, his last gamble is to invent a "Palestinian state crisis" and confront the United States.’

Read the article here.

There is no plan, at best a continuation of the status quo.
In percentage terms, more Americans think Elvis is alive than there are Israelis who think Netanyahu is a good prime minister.

Clinging to power at all costs.

And it remains to be seen how serious Europe and the US are about pushing Israelis and Palestinians to a solution. I’m very much afraid that their attention will shift to other conflicts soon. Unless the Middle-East will go up in flames, which is not a pretty idea.

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