Arnon Grunberg

Area

Permanent

On the absence of a plan - Zvi Bar'el in Haaretz:

‘According to a detailed report that appeared on Saturday on the Saudi Asharq News website, the first phase will include the release of 33 Israeli hostages, including male and female soldiers, in exchange for 1,000 Palestinian prisoners. Residents of the northern Gaza Strip who fled will be allowed to return to their homes, and the Israel Defense Forces will withdraw from the areas these displaced people will return to.
The first phase is expected to last 16 days, after which a temporary cease-fire will kick in, followed by discussions over the implementation of a permanent cease-fire.’

(…)

‘With all the practical question marks emanating from these reports, there is great certainty in one area: Israel is not yet ready with a strategic plan for controlling and managing the Gaza Strip, whether the hostage deal fails or whether it is secured after all the hurdles have been passed.’

(…)

‘If one assumes that the first part of the deal, lasting 16 days, is implemented, Israel has no plan on how to act in the event that the second phase flounders. If that happens, the IDF will have to contend with tens or hundreds of thousands of Gazans who have returned to the north, while simultaneously finding solutions for the one million people besieged in Rafah, for whom Israel has no realistic plan either.’

(…)

‘The external Hamas leadership, which is concerned about Gaza's and Hamas' future, is continuing to advance the idea of reconciling with Fatah. Its senior members met Fatah leaders in China last week, and are working to lay down new principles that would allow Hamas to join the Palestine Liberation Organization, an idea promoted by a group of younger Fatah leaders.’

(…)

‘Barghouti, who helped formulate the "prisoners' document" in 2006 – in which all Palestinian factions, including Hamas, agreed on establishing a Palestinian state within the 1967 borders, with Jerusalem as its capital – has worked from prison to advance reconciliation between Hamas and Fatah in order to give the PLO wide legitimacy as an organization that represents all Palestinians exclusively. The PLO is the organization that signed the Oslo Accords and is the source of authority for the Palestinian Authority.
A renewed PLO that includes Hamas will ensure not just its political survival: It could become the address for managing the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, achieving international support. Thus, while Israel is anxiously viewing reports about Qatar's intention of expelling Hamas leaders – as if the organization's existence depended on that – in Palestine, progress is unfolding, and Israel has no strategy to respond to it.’

Read the complete article here.

The longer the war last the less plan Israel seems to have.

Having no plans as a strategy is not necessarily better than clinging to catastrophic plans, but in this case the difference might be non-existent.

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