On endorsing attacks retrospectively – The Economist:

‘The success of the initial attacks led Mr Trump to endorse them fully retrospectively. “I think it’s been excellent. We gave them a chance and they didn’t take it,” he told one interviewer. “I always knew the date,” he boasted to another.’

(…)

‘Mr Trump clearly holds out hope for diplomacy, posting on social media, “Iran must make a deal, before there is nothing left, and save what was once known as the Iranian Empire”. But the lines of communication with Iran may now be closing. According to reports on June 14th an Iranian official dismissed the us-Iran negotiations as “meaningless”.’

(…)

‘Israel may be calculating that America can be persuaded to join the campaign with its heavy bombers, which carry the 30,000lb bombs capable of burrowing deeper, rather than leave the job half-done.
America could also be pulled in by Iranian retaliation. Iran’s limited ability to strike at Israel may force it to consider other options. It could hit American targets in the region, hoping to spook Mr Trump. It could use its proxies to attack shipping in the Red Sea (as the Houthis have been doing), or it could close the Strait of Hormuz and attack energy facilities in the Gulf (raising oil prices). And if the Iranian regime is brought down by Israel’s efforts—an ambition that Mr Netanyahu raised explicitly on June 13th, saying that the strikes were “clearing the path” for its overthrow— the president may not be able to escape the resulting chaos, which could easily threaten America’s interests or its allies in the region.’

(…)

‘The dilemma for the ever-ambivalent Mr Trump is acute: if he chooses to go “all in” in helping Israel destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities, he could shorten the conflict. Yet by doing so he could also escalate it and expose America to another forever war.’

Read the article here.

Mr. Trump won’t go all in, unless he has no other choice.

The chaos is already, I think it’s unlikely that Israeli attacks will topple the regime in Iran, quite the opposite.

The question is: will the US believe that an regional war is bearable or not?

And what will China do?

Eating up Taiwan while nobody is looking?