On the dance of death – Harel in Haaretz:

‘On Monday, Gen. Michael Kurilla, the head of the U.S. Central Command, came to Israel to coordinate defensive preparations to contain the anticipated attack. The secretary of Russia's Security Council, Sergei Shoigu, arrived in Tehran. The superpowers are now part of the game.’

(…)

‘But the Iranians, and especially their new president, presumably do not want a regional war. Iran will likely participate in a retaliatory operation, but there is no certainty that it will be harsher than April's missile and drone attack.
As noted here Monday, however, Hezbollah's conduct is worrisome. The organization seems determined to avenge the killing of Fuad Shukr, the man sometimes called Hezbollah's chief of staff.
An attack from Lebanon could be aimed at military and strategic targets in the north and center of the country and include heavy fire on a scale unprecedented in Israel. The threat from Lebanon is currently more dangerous than the threat from Iran, in light of the enormous number of missiles at Hezbollah's disposal, many of them precision-guided, as well as the proximity to Israel.’

(…)
‘Netanyahu seems to be betting that Donald Trump will win the November presidential election and is convinced that he will manage to overcome the pressure exerted by the Americans. So far, he has succeeded. The prime minister has been stalling the hostage deal for months. To the Biden administration's distress, he also prolonged the war and sent the Israel Defense Forces to capture the Philadelphi route and parts of Rafah.
In the long term, Netanyahu risks a serious crisis with the Democrats, especially if Vice President Kamala Harris wins the election. In that case, he is liable to encounter tensions recalling those of the guarantees crisis in the days of President George H.W. Bush and Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, in the early 1990s.’

(…)

The bar for expectations from the government has fallen nearly to the ground – and still, we are in a rather astonishing situation, 10 months into a war, when it's not even known whether there will be flights to and from Israel in the coming days and residents are forced to try to gather the information on their own.’

Read the article here.

Expectations from the government has fallen to the ground. In other words, the state becomes more and more dysfunctional.

The other question, how independent from Iran is Hezbollah able to operate? According to Dexter Filkins in The New Yorker recently, not that much.

And the serious crisis between Netanyahu and the Democrats is a detail.

The point may be reached that Israel is not a strategic asset to the US anymore.

Also: Iran might not want a regional war, but doesn't Netanyahu want one?