On the king – Peter Baker in NYT:

‘Russell Riley, a presidential historian at the University of Virginia’s Miller Center, acknowledged the nation’s long history of expanding presidential authority. But, he added, “we have an equally robust history of cramming the presidency back into its constitutional box once war or economic crisis has passed.” That history “strongly suggests that what we are seeing today will not, in fact, endure.” Is that a guarantee? “I’m not smart enough to know the answer to that.”’

Read the article here.

Nobody is smart enough to know the future.

There are probabilities. But (black swan, white swan) we know that probabilities are no guarantee.