And now for something different, Pakistan:

“It was easy to see the seeds of the next crisis brewing. At a minimum it proved what the State Department called the Ruggiero Rule, named for Frank Rugiero, a veteran diplomat who conducts many of the negotiations with the Taliban: if anything looks like it is going well with Pakistan, Ruggiero often told his staff, just wait forty-five minutes.”

David E. Sanger in his book “Confront and Conceal”.

The Ruggiero Rule should be valid not only for Pakistan, but for life in general. If anything looks like it is going well, wait forty-five minutes.