Arnon Grunberg

Murky

Largely obscure

What exactly happened on September 6 when Israeli warplanes attacked (or not attacked) Syria remains murky.
Sratfor reported yesterday on the place where external fuel tanks, belonging to Israeli aircraft, were found: “The northwestern spit of Syrian territory near which the external fuel tanks were found is an odd place for the fuel tanks to be dropped, if credence is lent to one (or both) of the sites where the Syrians claim they shot at Israeli aircraft. The most likely explanation is that the planes used Turkish airspace as an egress route; it is the quickest route to the open water of the Mediterranean and a nice way to avoid the dense Syrian air defense network along the coast, but would probably involve Ankara's complicity. Furthermore -- though this fact likely has no relevance to the incident -- the U.S. air base at Incirlik is just 50 miles away.

The lack of an outright denial from the Israelis and Turkey's subsequent statements lend some credence to the occurrence of some airspace violation by the IAF. But even this is not certain -- and in all likelihood, the matter will remain largely obscure”

And The NY Times today reports: “The Sept. 6 attack by Israeli warplanes inside Syria struck what Israeli intelligence believes was a nuclear-related facility that North Korea was helping to equip, according to current and former American and Israeli officials”


But also: ““It would almost defy credibility that the North Koreans would be willing to risk so much to engage in a nuclear weapons-related proliferation,” said Evans Revere, the president of the Korea Society in New York and a former senior American diplomat in Seoul.”

It’s telling that whatever happened on September 6 it is apparently big and important enough for the Israeli military censor to censor most if not all reports about it. And important enough that even the US government decided to remain silent. Maybe forever. On this case at least.